OK, I feel like some math...
According to
this article, illegal immigrants receive, on average, $1,139 of care each year. That data is old, though. Maybe more like $5000 per year per immigrant these days? Let's just say that.
For 11 million immigrants (Jonathan's figure), that means 11 million times $5000 = 55 billion dollars a year. But looking more closely at the article, that is for immigrants regardless of insurance coverage. Some immigrants have coverage. Also, some immigrants probably do pay (at least some) of their bills (I work for a collection agency that collects on medical claims -- hospitals can be ruthless *smile*). Can we say about half of that 55 billion actually gets paid by standard insurance or out-of-pocket? [NOTE: For the past hours I really have tried to find good data and sources, but cannot find the facts I need -- hence some rough estimates.]
Let's go with 20-30 billion in health care costs flat-out lost. Totally uninsured immigrants who don't pay a cent of their bills.
Now we'll consider another aspect of the economic impact of immigrants, purely from a tax revenue perspective. We'll assume these SSN-less immigrants don't pay a cent in income tax. But they do pay sales tax.
Let's say that the average money spent per year by those 11 million immigrants is...oh, $5000? I would go higher, but aren't a lot of those 11 million children? Let's just use the $5000. So, that is 55 billion again in gross sales. Sales tax here in St. Louis is around 7%. I think that's low, but we'll use that. 55 billion times 7% would be about 4 billion in sales tax revenue a year.
These are rough, rough estimates. If I said only a quarter of the immigrants were total deadbeats, that would bring the unpaid health cost burden down to around 14 billion. And if I assumed a lot of the 11 million immigrants spent way more each year, like $10,000 (food, gas, services, etc.), that would bring sales tax revenue up to around 8 billion.
So, I am settling on a sales-tax/health-cost-loss difference of anywhere between 6 and 25 billion. I could use some better figures. But I do know that the defense budget in 2005 was 400 billion. That's 16 times larger than the largest gap I came up with on the health front.
I have no problem with folks having immigration worries. But anyone who thinks we are crumbling due to health cost losses might want to worry about the vast amounts of cash we are spending on defense. In other words, if one is a "xenophobe", I would think that for consistency's sake one would also want to consider being an "isolationist" and pulling back on defense.
If my numbers are way off, please correct me where I am wrong.
Aside from the numbers, the immigration/health-care issue is undoubtedly huge in terms of hospital burden. My reading was replete with stories about waiting for care (two year wait list for gallbladder surgery!!!!). That's not looking so good.
FYI: For 2005, the government budget was around 66 billion for education (the public portion -- overal education expenditures in this country are far greater than that -- more than the defense budget, according to some sources).
As usual, I have zero answers...just more questions. *smile*